Unravelling the Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture of Pakistan: An Exploratory Analysis

Authors

  • Sumaira Lodhi Lecturer, Department of Economics, Forman Christian College (A Chartered University), Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan.
  • Muhammad Salahuddin Ayyubi Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Forman Christian College (A Chartered University), Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan.
  • Shakeel Hayat Lecturer, Center for Water Informatics & Climate Resilience (CWC), IMSciences, Hayatabad, Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.
  •  Zahid Iqbal Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Forman Christian College (A Chartered University), Lahore, Punjab, Pakistan.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55737/qjss.791319404

Keywords:

Carbon Emissions, Agriculture, Global Warming, Exploratory Analysis, Climate Change

Abstract

The agricultural sector of Pakistan, the backbone of the economy, has experienced extreme changes in climate over the past years. Varying temperatures, rainfall patterns, and carbon emissions have drastically affected the country's agricultural productivity. This study focuses on the exploratory analysis of various factors of climate change in the agricultural sector of Pakistan and involves a descriptive analysis of three variables: temperature, rainfall, and carbon emissions. Time series data on monthly temperature and rainfall was taken from the World Bank from the year 1990 to 2018. At the same time, carbon emissions were studied on a yearly basis. The analysis showed that the country had experienced an increase in temperature and carbon emissions during the period of analysis. However, the decreasing trends of rainfall during most of the months explored the deteriorating agricultural production and food insecurity in the country. Therefore, the government should employ innovative techniques to harvest rainwater for agricultural development, aiming to reduce carbon emissions.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

  • Shakeel Hayat, Lecturer, Center for Water Informatics & Climate Resilience (CWC), IMSciences, Hayatabad, Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.

References

Ahmad, K., & Heng, A. C. T. (2012). Determinants of agriculture productivity growth in Pakistan. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 95, 163-173. http://scholarbank.nus.edu.sg/handle/10635/124315

Ajani, A., & van der Geest, K. (2021). Climate change in rural Pakistan: evidence and experiences from a people-centered perspective. Sustainability Science, 16(6), 1999-2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-01036-4

Ali, A., Munir, Q., Abbas, Z., Akhtar (2016, August 8). Monsoon – a blessing or curse for Pakistan? https://dailytimes.com.pk/64960/monsoon-a-blessing-or-curse-for-pakistan/

Ali, S., Liu, Y., İshaq, M., Shah, T., Khan, M. A., Ilyas, A., & Din, I. (2017). Climate Change and Its Impact on the Yield of Major Food Crops: Evidence from Pakistan. Foods, 6(6), 39. https://doi.org/10.3390/foods6060039

Arif, A. (2024). The Role of Greenhouse Gases, Aerosols, and Deforestation in Climate Change: a Multidisciplinary Assessment of the Interaction Mechanisms between Human Activity and the Environment. Int J Med Net, 2(2), 01-14.

Aryal, J. P., Manchanda, N., & Sonobe, T. (2022). Expectations for household food security in the coming decades: A global scenario. In Future Foods (pp. 107-131). Academic Press. https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-323-91001-9.00002-5

Awan, A. G., & Yaseen, G. (2017). Global climate change and its impact on the agriculture sector in Pakistan. American Journal of Trade and Policy, 4(3), 109–116. https://doi.org/10.18034/ajtp.v4i3.425

Denchak, M. (2018). Fossil fuels: The dirty facts. Natural Resources Défense Council (NRDC): NY, USA.

Dutta, G., Paramanik, B., Bhabai, B., Layek, J., Choudhury, A., Dutta, S., & Rahman, F. H. (2024). Climate Change Impacts on Soil-Plant-Atmosphere Continuum (pp. 383-404). Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore. https://doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.82697

Gomez-Zavaglia, A., Mejuto, J. C., & Simal-Gandara, J. (2020). Mitigation of emerging implications of climate change on food production systems. Food Research International, 134, 109256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodres.2020.109256

Kabir, M., Habiba, U., Iqbal, M. Z., Shafiq, M., Farooqi, Z. R., Shah, A., & Khan, W. (2023, July). Impacts of anthropogenic activities & climate change resulting from increasing concentration of Carbon dioxide on the environment in the 21st Century; A Critical Review. In IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1194( 1), 012010. IOP Publishing.

Khan, M. A., Khan, J. A., Ali, Z., Ahmad, I., & Ahmad, M. N. (2016). The challenge of climate change and policy response in Pakistan. Environmental Earth Sciences, 75(5), 412. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-015-5127-7

Khan, M. A., Tahir, A., Khurshid, N., Ahmed, M., & Boughanmi, H. (2020). Economic effects of climate change-induced loss of agricultural production by 2050: a case study of Pakistan. Sustainability, 12(3), 1216. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12031216

Khan, M. K., Khan, M. I., & Rehan, M. (2020). The relationship between energy consumption, economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions in Pakistan. Financial Innovation, 6(1), 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-019-0162-0

Kiran, A. (2017). Climate Change: Implications for Pakistan and Way Forward. ISSRA PAPERS, 9(2), https://www.prdb.pk/article/climate-change-implications-for-pakistan-and-way-forward-6796

Lodhi, S., Iqbal, Z., Ayyubi, M. S., & Manzoor, Z. (2023). Exploring and Evaluating the Association between Environmental Sustainability and Economic Progress: A Cross-Country Analysis of Green Tourism. Empirical Economic Review, 6(1), 116-145. https://doi.org/10.29145/eer.61.065

Malhi, G. S., Kaur, M., & Kaushik, P. (2021). Impact of climate change on agriculture and its mitigation strategies: A review. Sustainability, 13(3), 1318. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13031318

Mushtaq, F., Akram, M. H., Usman, M., Mohsin, M., & Nawaz, M. S. (2024). Global climate change and its influence on crop production. Journal of Life and Social Sciences, 2024(1), 27-27.

Saeed, R., & Roy, S. A. (2021). Poor agricultural governance is holding the country back.

Sajjad, I. (2015, June 10). Pakistan crafts plan to cut carbon emissions 30pc by 2025. https://www.dawn.com/news/1187358

Salik, K. M., Shabbir, M., & Naeem, K. (2020). Climate-induced displacement and migration in Pakistan: Insights from Muzaffargarh and Tharparkar Districts. https://cansouthasia.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Migration_Pakistan_17_12_2020.pdf

Sirba, H. Y., & Chimdessa, T. B. (2021). Review of the impact of climate change on food security in Africa. Int. J. Res. Innov. Earth Sci, 8, 2394-1375. https://doi.org/10.7176/jrdm/90-03

Srivastav, A. L., Dhyani, R., Ranjan, M., Madhav, S., & Sillanpää, M. (2021). Climate-resilient strategies for sustainable management of water resources and agriculture. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(31), 41576-41595. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14332-4

Torres, M., Howitt, R., & Rodrigues, L. (2019). Analyzing rainfall effects on agricultural income: Why timing matters. Economies, 20(1), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econ.2019.03.006

Ullah, S. (2017). Climate Change Impact on Agriculture of Pakistan- A Leading Agent to Food Security. International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural, 6(3), 76–79. https://ideas.repec.org/a/adp/ijesnr/v6y2017i3p76-79.html

Upadhyay, R. K. (2020). Markers for global climate change and its impact on social, biological and ecological systems: A review. American Journal of Climate Change, 9(03), 159. https://doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2020.93012

Uscinski, J. E., Douglas, K., & Lewandowsky, S. (2017). Climate change conspiracy theories. Oxford research encyclopedia of climate science. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-16960-2_141-1

Zahra, S., Batool, M., & Bashir, Q. A. (2016). Impact of global climate change on the economy of Pakistan: How to ensure sustainable food and energy production. Advances in Plants & Agriculture Research, 5(2), https://doi.org/10.15406/apar.2016.05.00177

Published

2024-06-30

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Lodhi, S., Ayyubi, M. S., Hayat, S., & Iqbal, Zahid. (2024). Unravelling the Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture of Pakistan: An Exploratory Analysis. Qlantic Journal of Social Sciences, 5(2), 142-158. https://doi.org/10.55737/qjss.791319404

Similar Articles

1-10 of 90

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.

Most read articles by the same author(s)